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The Hollywood Ear > News > Oscars 2026 Last-Minute Predictions: Who Will Win an Academy Award? Sinners, More
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Oscars 2026 Last-Minute Predictions: Who Will Win an Academy Award? Sinners, More

News Room By News Room March 16, 2026
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This year’s awards season has been an unsuspecting affair — and who will take home an Oscar win is anyone’s guess.

Ryan Coogler’s horror-thriller Sinners leads with a record-breaking 16 nominations at the 2026 ceremony, held on Sunday, March 15, at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, with nods in categories like Best Picture, Best Director and Best Original Screenplay. Michael B. Jordan, Wunmi Mosaku, and Delroy Lindo also received nominations in their respective acting categories.

After winning big at the Golden Globes and Critics’ Choice Awards, however, it seemed like it would be One Battle After Another — nominated for 13 Oscars this year — that would recreate Oppenheimer’s 2025 sweep. That then changed after SAG’s Actor Awards earlier this month, when Sinners took home some of the night’s most important wins, including Best Cast and Best Male Actor for Jordan.

“I wasn’t expecting this at all,” the actor, who portrays twins Smoke and Stack in the movie, told the audience as they gave him a standing ovation. “I’m so honored and privileged to be nominated in this category with people and actors and humans that I love, and I love their work and I love what they contribute to our craft.”

Related: 2026 Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win Every Major Award?

The best films of the year are competing for the biggest trophy in Hollywood at the 2026 Oscars — and Us Weekly is weighing in on who will take home the night’s most prestigious wins. It’s been an unexpected awards season leading up to the Sunday, March 15, ceremony, with One Battle After Another breaking […]

Marty Supreme’s Timothée Chalamet — who won at the Globes and Critics’ Choice — One Battle After Another’s Leonardo DiCaprio, Blue Moon’s Ethan Hawke and Bugonia’s Jesse Plemons were also nominated.

Other 2026 Actor Award wins, like Weapons’ Amy Madigan for Female Actor in a Supporting Role, were additional surprises, officially making many of the categories a toss-up.

Keep scrolling for Us Weekly’s last-minute predictions for the 2026 Oscars:

Best Picture

Nominated:

Bugonia

F1

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

The Secret Agent

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Train Dreams

Will Win: Sinners 

 

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Nominated:

Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme

Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another

Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon

Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent

Will Win: Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

 

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Nominated:

Jessie Buckley, Hamnet

Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue

Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value

Emma Stone, Bugonia

Will Win: Jessie Buckley, Hamnet

 

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Nominated:

Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another

Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein

Delroy Lindo, Sinners

Sean Penn, One Battle After Another

Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value

Will Win: Delroy Lindo, Sinners

 

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Nominated:

Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value

Amy Madigan, Weapons

Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners

Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another

Will Win:  Amy Madigan, Weapons 

 

Best Writing (Original Screenplay)

Nominated:

Blue Moon

It Was Just an Accident

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Will Win: Sinners

 

Best Directing

Nominated:

Chloe Zhao, Hamnet

Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme

Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value

Ryan Coogler, Sinners

Will Win: Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

 

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Nominated:

Bugonia

Frankenstein

Hamnet

One Battle After Another

Train Dreams

Will Win: One Battle After Another 

 

Best Animated Feature Film

Nominated:

Arco

Elio

KPop Demon Hunters

Little Amelie or the Character of Rain

Zootopia 2

Will Win: KPop Demon Hunters

 

Best Costume Design

Nominated: 

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sinners

Will Win: Frankenstein

 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Nominated:

Frankenstein

Kokuho

Sinners

The Smashing Machine

The Ugly Stepsister

Will Win: Frankenstein

 

Best Music (Original Score)

Nominated:

Bugonia

Frankenstein

Hamnet

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Will Win: Sinners

Related: Best Picture and More 2026 Oscar Races Way Too Close to Call

Placing a bet on the 2026 Oscars’ biggest categories is easier said than done. As the countdown continues for Hollywood’s biggest night, movie fans are making their predictions for who will win big in the top categories, including best actor, best actress and best director. Although Sinners dominates the nominations list with a record-breaking 16 […]

Best International Feature Film

Nominated: 

The Secret Agent, Brazil

It Was Just an Accident, France

Sentimental Value, Norway

Sirāt, Spain

The Voice of Hind Rajab, Tunisia

Will Win: Sentimental Value

Read the full article here

Contents
Related: 2026 Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win Every Major Award?Best PictureBest Actor in a Leading RoleBest Actress in a Leading RoleBest Actor in a Supporting RoleBest Actress in a Supporting RoleBest Writing (Original Screenplay)Best DirectingBest Writing (Adapted Screenplay)Best Animated Feature FilmBest Costume DesignBest Makeup and HairstylingBest Music (Original Score)Related: Best Picture and More 2026 Oscar Races Way Too Close to CallBest International Feature Film
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